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Source NoticeBored.webp NoticeBored
Identifiant 1495740
Date de publication 2019-12-13 13:57:03 (vue: 2020-01-03 15:00:04)
Titre NBlog Dec 10 - a brutal lesson in risk management
Texte Yesterday's volcanic eruption on White Island is headline news around the globe, a tragedy that sadly resulted in several deaths, currently estimated at 13.  Also, yesterday in NZ there were roughly 90 other deaths (as there are every day), roughly two thirds of which were caused by cardiovascular diseases or cancer:So, yesterday, the proportion of deaths in NZ caused by "Natural disasters" spiked from 0% to 13%. Today, it is likely to fall back to 0%. "Natural disasters" will have caused roughly 0.04% of the ~33,500 deaths in NZ during 2019 ... but judging by the news media coverage today, you'd have thought NZ was a disaster zone, a lethal place - which indeed it is for ~33,500 of us every year. Very very few, though, expire under a hail of molten rock and cloud of noxious fumes, viewable in glorious Technicolor on social media.Those 13 tourists who perished yesterday chose to see NZ's most active volcano up close, real close. You may be thinking "Ah but if they'd known it would erupt, they wouldn't have gone" ... but they did know it was a possibility: for at least some of the 13, that was the very reason they went. It's euphemistically called "adventure tourism". The possibility of death or serious injury is, perversely, part of the attraction, the thrill of it. Recent warnings from geologists about the increased threat of eruption on White Island would, I'm sure, have been carefully considered by the tourist companies involved, plus I guess they may have noticed changes in the amount of steam and sulfur lingering in the air. Tourists are explicitly warned about the dangers and instructed on the safety aspects. I gather one of the dead was a local, an employee of the tourist company. Aside perhaps from the geologists, it's hard to think of anyone more aware of the risk.Having weighed-up the risks and rewards, the 13 enjoyed an amazing spectacle, doing the equivalent of 'clicking the go-away button' to dismiss computer security warnings despite facing, in their case, the ultimate impact. While I suspect their final moments would have been literally petrifying, hopefully the extra-special buzz leading up to it made it worthwhile. At that point, h
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