One Article Review
| Source |  NoticeBored |
|---|---|
| Identifiant | 1779395 |
| Date de publication | 2020-03-21 06:49:12 (vue: 2020-06-29 11:00:30) |
| Titre | NBlog March 13 - COVID-19 information risk analysis |
| Texte | I'll kick off with a disclaimer: IANAV*. I have a scientific background in microbial genetics but left the field more than 3 decades ago. I have far more experience in information risk management, so what follows is my personal assessment of the information risks ('risks pertaining to information') associated with the Coronavirus pandemic.Here's my initial draft of a Probability-Impact-Graphic showing what I see as the main information risk aspects right now, today, with a few words of explanation below: Top left, the reported shortages of toilet rolls, facemasks, hand sanitiser and soap qualify as information incidents because they are the result of panic buying by people over-reacting to initial media coverage of shortages. The impacts are low because most people are just not that daft. Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt, however, is largely what drives those panic buyers. To an extent, I blame the media (mostly social media but also the traditional news media, desperate for their next headline) for frenziedly whipping up a storm of information. There are potentially significant personal and social consequences arising from FUD that I'll cover later.In amongst the frenzied bad news, there are a few good things coming out of this incident. The global scientific, medical and public services communities are quietly sharing information about the virus, infections, symptoms, morbidity, treatments, contributory factors, social responses etc. There is excellent work going on to characterise the virus, understand its morphology and genetics, understand the disease progression, understand the modes of transmission etc. It's a shame this isn't as widely reported as the bad news but I think I understand why that is: scientists, generally, are reluctant to publish information they aren't reasonably sure about, and "reasonably sure" means if a reporter asks for a categorical statement of fact, most scientists will at least hesitate if not refuse. An example of this is the face mask issue: good quality face masks are designed to trap small particles but not as small as viruses. They help by impeding airborne particles and so reducing the spread of airborne viruses, but do not total |
| Envoyé | Oui |
| Condensat | fear reddit there a probability a virologist** about access advice affects again agenda agendas ago airborne all allegedly already also although amongst analysis another anything are aren arising around asks aspects assessment associated assorted attention back background bad beats because been believing below:top bias biased blame brain but buyers buying capacity categorical channel chaos characterise chinese circulating claim clamber clear colleagues combination comes coming comments communities comparison concerned consequences consider constructive consumption content contribution contributory control controls conversations coronavirus course cover coverage covid credentials critical critically crowding cures curious cycles daft dear decades decisions deliberately designed desperate disclaimer: discussed disease dive diverting documenting doing don doubt draft dramatic drives dubious due eclipses economics effect effective effectiveness effects elaborate eliminate etc everywhere example excellent experience expert explanation exploiting explore extent face facemasks fact factors factual fake falling far fascinating fearful feedback field finally flow follow follows forth freefall frenzied frenziedly from fud further generally genetics genuinely global globally going good google graphic group guy hand happening harming have headline headlong health healthcare help by helping hence here hesitate hidden hope hour however ianav ianav* impact impacts impeding important inaccurate inadvertently incident incidents include:large ineffective infections infectious infinitesimal information inherently initial inputs insignificant interacting interest internet investing investors is: isn issue issue: its jazz journey just keyboard kick known large largely later leading leads least left like limited literally lived looks loop low lower main make making management march market markets mask masks materially matters;smaller means media medic medical merry metrics microbial mind miracle misinformation misinterpret misinterpreted misleading misreported missed mistake modes modify moment morbidity more morphology most mostly motivations much must naive naively nblog negative news next normality nose not nothing now off offline on**;so one ooooooooo opinion ordinary other others out outcome outrage over overflowing overreacting own pandemic panic particles pass past peaks people perhaps personal perspective pertaining phenomenon piece pieces plan policy poor positive potentially prevent priority probability problem productivity progression promising promoting prone public publish publishing pulling qualify quality quietly rapidly rate rather reacting read reader real reasonably recession recessions reduce reducing reduction refuse relating relevant reluctant remember replete reported reporter research resilience resources responses result right risk risks rolls same same: sanitiser say scared scientific scientist scientists search security see seem services shame sharing short shortages showing sick sickie significant signs simply sincerely slow small snotty snowball soap social sociologist some sparking spending spread spreading spreads statement statements stock storm streaming stuff suffering sure symptoms tend term terms than that them then there things think those thoughts threats three time today toilet too top topic totally towards traditional transmission etc trap treatments ugly uncertainty understand update used vary virology virus viruses volumes vulnerabilities way welcome what when whereas which whipping whispers;accidental who why widely widespread will words words: work world worry would yet |
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