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Source ErrataRob.webp Errata Security
Identifiant 3512368
Date de publication 2021-10-13 23:33:07 (vue: 2021-10-14 04:05:29)
Titre Fact check: that "forensics" of the Mesa image is crazy
Texte Tina Peters, the elections clerk from Mesa County (Colorado) went rogue, creating a "disk-image" of the election server, and posting that image to the public Internet. Conspiracy theorists have been analyzing the disk-image trying to find anomalies supporting their conspiracy-theories. A recent example is this "forensics" report. In this blogpost, I debunk that report.I suppose calling somebody a "conspiracy theorist" is insulting, but there's three objective ways we can identify them as such.The first is when they use the logic "everything we can't explain is proof of the conspiracy". In other words, since there's no other rational explanation, the only remaining explanation is the conspiracy-theory. But there can be other possible explanations -- just ones unknown to the person because they aren't smart enough to understand them. We see that here: the person writing this report doesn't understand some basic concepts, like "airgapped" networks.This leads to the second way to recognize a conspiracy-theory, when it demands this one thing that'll clear things up. Here, it's demanding that a manual audit/recount of Mesa County be performed. But it won't satisfy them. The Maricopa audit in neighboring Colorado, whose recount found no fraud, didn't clear anything up -- it just found more anomalies demanding more explanation. It's like Obama's birth certificate. The reason he ignored demands to show it was that first, there was no serious question (even if born in Kenya, he'd still be a natural born citizen -- just like how Cruz was born in Canada and McCain in Panama), and second, showing the birth certificate wouldn't change anything at all, as they'd just claim it was fake. There is no possibility of showing a birth certificate that can be proven isn't fake.The third way to objectively identify a conspiracy theory is when they repeat objectively crazy things. In this case, they keep demanding that the 2020 election be "decertified". That's not a thing. There is no regulation or law where that can happen. The most you can hope for is to use this information to prosecute the fraudster, prosecute the elections clerk who didn't follow procedure, or convince legislators to change the rules for the next election. But there's just no way to change the results of the last election even if wide spread fraud is now proven.The document makes 6 individual claims. Let's debunk them one-by-one.#1 Data Integrity ViolationThe report tracks some logs on how some votes were counted. It concludes:If the reasons behind these findings cannot be adequately explained, then the county's election results are indeterminate and must be decertified.This neatly demonstrates two conditions I cited above. The analyst can't explain the anomaly not because something bad happened, but because they don't understand how Dominion's voting software works. This demand for an explanation is a common attribute of conspiracy theories -- the ignorant keep finding things they don't understand and demand somebody else explain them.Secondly, there's the claim that the election results must be "decertified". It's something that Trump and his supporters believe is a thing, that somehow the courts will overturn the past election and reinstate Trump. This isn't a rational claim. It's not how the courts or the law works or the Constitution works.#2 Intentional purging of Log FilesThis is the issue that convinced Tina Peters to go rogue, that the normal Dominion software update gets rid of all the old system-log files. She leaked two disk-images, before and after the update, to show the disappearance of system-logs. She believes this violates the law demanding the "election records" be preserved. She claims because o
Envoyé Oui
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